Abstract
Objectives
To assess the extent to which prior hormone therapy modifies the breast cancer risk
found with estrogen plus progestin (E + P) in the Women's Health Initiative (WHI) randomized trial.
Methods
Subgroup analyses of prior hormone use on invasive breast cancer incidence in 16,608
postmenopausal women in the WHI randomized trial of E + P over an average 5.6 years of follow-up.
Results
Small but statistically significant differences were found between prior HT users
and non-users for most breast cancer risk factors but Gail risk scores were similar.
Duration of E + P use within the trial (mean 4.4 years, S.D. 2.0) did not vary by prior use. Among
4311 prior users, the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for E + P versus placebo was 1.96 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.17–3.27), significantly
different (p = 0.03) from that among 12,297 never users (HR 1.02; 95% CI: 0.77–1.36). The interaction
between study arm and follow-up time was significant overall (p = 0.01) and among never users (p = 0.02) but not among prior users (p = 0.10). The cumulative incidence over time for the E + P and placebo groups appeared to cross after about 3 years in prior users, and after
about 5 years in women with no prior use. No interaction was found with duration (p = 0.08) or recency of prior use (p = 0.17). Prior hormone use significantly increased the E + P hazard ratio for larger, more advanced tumors.
Conclusion
A safe interval for combined hormone use could not be reliably defined with these
data. However, the significant increase in breast cancer risk in the trial overall
after only 5.6 years of follow-up, initially concentrated in women with prior hormone
exposure, but with increasing risk over time in women without prior exposure, suggests
that durations only slightly longer than those in the WHI trial are associated with
increased risk of breast cancer. Longer-term exposure and follow-up data are needed.
Keywords
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Article info
Publication history
Published online: July 03, 2006
Accepted:
May 5,
2006
Received in revised form:
April 28,
2006
Received:
November 23,
2005
Identification
Copyright
© 2006 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.